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Entscheidungstheorie: neue Ansätze, Modelle, Theorien

 

Nutzenmodelle

 

a) multi-attribute

 

1. conjunctive (Einhorn 1971)

(ähnl.:satisfizing;H. A. Simon 1955ff)

2. additive

- für nicht-Risiko: (Slovic, Lichtenstein 1968)

- für Risiko: (Tversky 1967, Fischer 1973)

3. additive Differenzen

- nur für 2 Alternativen (Tversky 1969)

4. elimination by aspects (Tversky 1972)

5. criterion-dependent choice (CDC) model

(Aschenbrenner et al. 1984)

 

b) Verhaltenstheorien

1. matching law

(Herrnstein 1961/70; de Villiers 1977)

2. behavioral maximization theory

(Rachlin et al. 1981)

3. melioration

(Herrnstein, Vaughan 1980ff)

 

c) andere

 

1. Portfolio-Theorie

(Coombs 1969/70/75)

2.prospect theory

(Kahneman, Tversky 1979)

framing (Tversky, Kahneman 1981;

(Fischhoff 1983; Levin et al. 1985ff)

3.Alpha-utility choice theory

(Chew, MacCrimmon 1979)

4. regret theory

(Bell 1982; Fishburn 1982;

Loomes, Sugden 1982/87)

5. SSB utility theory (Fishburn 1982/84)

6. generalized EU analysis (Machina 1982/83)

7. theory of anticipated utility

(Quiggin 1982)

8. dual theory of choice (Yaari 1987)

 

Wahrscheinlichkeitsmodelle

 

1. a) causal schema

(Einhorn, Hogarth 1972 [82?];

Bierhoff: Vorannahmen 1979;

Tversky, Kahneman 1980)

b) causal decision theories

- (Sobel 1978, Skyrms 1980; Lewis 1981)

- "counterfactuals"

(Gibbard, Harper 1978; Hoch 1985)

- "ratifiability" (Jeffrey 1981/83)

2. modified Bayes theorem

(Dodson 1961, Gettys et al. 1969/73)

3. a) lens model

(Brunswik 1952/55, Hammond 1955)

b) Social Judgment Theory

(Hammond 1975; Brehmer 1976)

4. decision theories (für Wahrscheinlichkeiten)

- (Smith 1961/65; Good 1962; Dempster 1967)

intervals (Kyburg 1968)

"rational belief" (Kyburg 1983)

- set (Levi 1974/80/82)

- "epistemic reliability" (Gärdenfors, Sahlin 1982/83)

5. ambiguity model (Einhorn, Hogarth 1985)

 

Kognitive Modelle

 

1. information integration theory

(Shanteau, N. H. Anderson 1970ff;

N. H. Anderson 1981/86)

2. limitations of human information processing

- (Pitz 1974)

- (Slovic 1972, Hogarth 1975)

3. economics of imperfect decisions

(Heiner 1983ff)

4. cost/ benefit analysis

- (Beach, Mitchell 1978;

Toda, 1981; Payne 1982)

5. representation theory

- (Yates, Carlson 1980)

6. production system

- (Newell, Simon 1972; Newell 1980)

- (Payne 1982; Johnson, Payne 1985)

- (J. R. Anderson 1982)

7. Persönlichkeitseinflüsse

- kognitive Stile (Driver, Mock 1975;

(Phillips, Wright 1977)

8. conceptual model of judgment

(Hogarth 1980/87)

 

andere Modelle

 

1. contingent process model

(Payne, Braunstein 1971; Payne 1976/82)

2. process model

- (Berg 1972)

- (Payne et al. 1978; Pitz 1980)

- (Montgomery 1983)

- general-purpose processes

(Campbell 1975;

Groner, Bischof 1983: biosocial)

- opponent-process theory

(Solomon, Corbit 1974;

Taylor 1986; Saldanha, Lancry 1988)

3. Persönlichkeitseinflüsse

- perceptual aspects

(Kahneman, Tvesky 1981)

- risk taking (Kogan, Wallach 1960/64)

- self-control (Navarick, Fantino 1976)

(Thaler, Shefrin 1981)

4. Konfliktmodelle

- (Cyert, March 1963)

- (Thomae 1960/74; Feger 1978)

- coping pattern (Janis, Mann 1977)

5. Situationsabhängigkeit

- (Wright, Phillips 1976/84)

- "commitment" (Frank 1985/86)

6. Prozess-Struktur-Modell

Scholz 1987

 

 




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